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Chemical Manufacturing Economic Sentiment Index

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Economic Sentiment for Chemical Manufacturers Slid in in Q3, But Glimmers of Optimism Emerge

Economic sentiment for U.S. chemical manufacturers hit a rough patch in Q3 2025, as companies grappled with softening demand and economic headwinds, according to the American Chemistry Council’s (ACC) latest Chemical Manufacturing Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). But despite the downturn, there’s a flicker of optimism as companies look ahead to Q4 and early 2026.

ACC’s index, based on companies’ assessment of their activity level overall (e.g., sales, production, output) fell into negative territory in Q3, as chemical manufacturers reported lower demand in major customer markets and worsened economic conditions in the U.S. and abroad.

“Chemical manufacturing activity contracted in Q3 on the both fronts - domestic and foreign, with declines in production, capacity utilization, and new orders,” said Diego Saltes, ACC’s Director of Economics and Data Analytics. “Momentum shifted after a stronger Q2, and employment continued to slide. Economic concerns remain high for many companies.”

“Chemical manufacturers reduced capital spending in Q3, while costs for materials, energy, transportation, and labor continued to increase. Raw material and finished goods inventories tumbled as companies accelerated destocking,” Saltes added.

“Despite the challenges, production expectations for the next six months improved compared to Q2,” Saltes concluded.  

Company Activity (Sales, Production, Output)

Highlights from the Q3 ESI Report:

  • Widespread Weakening: New orders, order backlogs, production, and capacity utilization all dropped in Q3. Six-month expectations ticked up from Q2.
  • Persistent Uncertainty: Chemical manufacturers reported worsened economic conditions in the U.S. and globally in Q3, with near-term expectations remaining negative. 
  • Aggressive Destocking: Companies reported a swift inventory reduction of both raw materials and finished goods, with both indexes dropping to their lowest levels since Q4 2023.
  • Prolonged Capex Pullback: Manufacturers reported lower capital spending in Q3 for a third quarter in a row, with future spending expectations showing a negative reading for the second straight quarter.

Economic Conditions – Measures chemical manufacturer’s outlook on the overall state of the economy.
 

Disclaimer

The ESI provides quarterly insights from chemical companies engaged in nearly every aspect of the manufacturing sector and the U.S. economy. This latest report builds on eleven quarters of data from Q1 2023 to Q3 2025. You can view the complete findings here.