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Chemical Manufacturing Economic Sentiment Index

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Scott Jensen
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Chemical Manufacturing Stays Resilient in Q2 Despite Rising Costs and Economic Headwinds

Overall economic sentiment for U.S. chemical manufacturers stayed mostly positive in Q2 2026, with some indexes sliding slightly from the all-time highs reached in Q1, according to the American Chemistry Council’s (ACC) latest Chemical Manufacturing Economic Sentiment Index (ESI). 

The indexes of new orders and capacity utilization stayed high but dipped slightly compared to Q1. At the same time, the indexes measuring production and companies’ overall activity increased to record or near record highs. Optimism over the next six months declined, however.

Capital spending decelerated but remained positive for the third straight quarter. 
The index for major customer demand rose and stayed in positive territory for the second straight quarter. However, companies’ assessment of U.S. economic conditions declined deeper into negative territory.

“Chemical manufacturing activity indexes generally expanded in the second quarter, with some indexes rising while others decelerated” said Diego Saltes, ACC’s Director of Economics and Data Analytics. “All activity benchmarks portrayed continued growth, however.”

“Chemical manufacturers are still facing high production costs, with transportation and labor costs indexes accelerating in Q2. At the same time, energy costs softened over the same timeframe,” he continued. “Meanwhile, companies’ employee headcount contracted while the availability of skilled labor increased. 

“Raw materials inventories were flat as finished goods inventories increased for the first time since early 2025,” Saltes added.

“There was a decline in expectations for the next six months that carried over from Q1, as companies’ assessments of the outlook for U.S. and global economies remained weak amid high production costs,” Saltes concluded.

Company Activity (Sales, Production, Output)

Highlights from the Q2 ESI Report:

  • Positive Quarter: Overall company activity, new orders, order backlogs, production levels, capacity utilization, and supplier delivery times indexes remained positive and generally high in Q2. However, expectations for six months ahead deteriorated.
  • Production Costs Mixed: Transportation and labor costs heated up while energy costs decelerated. Skilled labor availability increased.   
  • Inventories Also Mixed: Raw materials inventories were flat as finished goods stocks rose. Companies expect finished goods inventories to decline over the next six months. 
  • US and Global Economic Conditions Remain Weak: Companies’ assessment of the US economy declined and remained in pessimistic territory. Nevertheless, expectations six months ahead improved slightly for U.S. economic conditions. In addition, assessments of global economic conditions continued to linger in deep negative territory.
  • Capex Softened: Manufacturers increased investment in capital equipment at a lower rate in Q2 while expectations six months ahead were stronger but also decelerated compared to Q1.

Economic Conditions – Measures chemical manufacturer’s outlook on the overall state of the economy.
 

Disclaimer

The ESI provides quarterly insights from chemical companies engaged in nearly every aspect of the manufacturing sector and the U.S. economy. This latest report builds on eleven quarters of data from Q1 2023 to Q2 2026.